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The Four Flashpoints

The Four Flashpoints: How Asia Goes to War

Asia is at a dangerous moment. China is rising fast. Young, reckless North Korean dictator Kim Jong-un is engaging in territorial spats with the US president over nuclear missiles. Japan’s nationalist government is remilitarising, throwing off the constitutional constraints imposed at the end of World War II. Washington is charting a different course, too – Donald Trump is the first US president to have contact with Taiwanese leaders since the 1970s, and also the first to edge his finger so firmly towards the nuclear button over North Korea. The doomsday clock has reached two minutes to midnight, as the possibility of global catastrophe looms ever closer.

In this revelatory analysis, strategic expert Brendan Taylor examines the four Asian flashpoints that are most likely to erupt in sudden and violent conflict – the Korean Peninsula, Taiwan, the South China Sea and the East China Sea. He argues that crisis can only be averted by understanding the dynamics of these global hotspots and the complex interrelations between them. Drawing on history, contemporary sources and in-depth reports to weave an analysis both pertinent and chilling, Taylor asks what the world’s major powers can do to avoid an eruption of war – and what role Australia, as both a force in this region and a historical ally of the United States, can play to change the course of this otherwise disastrous history.

About the author

Brendan Taylor

Dr Brendan Taylor is Associate Professor of Strategic Studies at the Australian National University. He is the author or editor of eight books, including, most recently, Australia’s American Alliance (MUP, 2016). His writings have also appeared in leading policy journals such as The Washington Quarterly, International Affairs and Survival, and he is a regular op-ed contributor …

More about Brendan Taylor



Specifications

Release date: 6 Aug 2018

RRP: $34.99

Paperback ISBN: 9781760640378

Format: Paperback

Size: 234 x 153mm

Extent: 256pp

Praise for The Four Flashpoints

‘Brendan Taylor has produced the most gripping scenarios for major power war in Asia in print -– as well as the strongest case for the wise statecraft we will need to keep the peace. We all know where the most dangerous flashpoints in Asia are, but Taylor has gone further than anyone in illuminating why they are so dangerous and how we might avoid conflict.' –– Michael J. Green, Senior Vice President for Asia at the Center for Strategic and International Studies and Professor, Georgetown University, and author of By More than Providence: Grand Strategy and American Power in the Asia Pacific since 1783

 

‘Timely, crucial and eminently readable. An alarming examination of where Asia and the world is heading.’ –– Kim Beazley

‘A clear, calm, rigorous and highly readable examination of the flashpoints that make Asia so dangerous today. It explains how they evolved, why they matter and how they might blow up. The perfect guide to the looming perils of the Asian Century.’ –– Hugh White

‘The map of Asia is dotted with flashpoints, places where national interests overlap and war could all too easily break out. In this informative and carefully argued volume, Brendan Taylor surveys the most explosive of these points, assessing the risks posed by each and proposing ways to damp down the danger that they could someday erupt into conflict. There are valuable insights in The Four Flashpoints for strategists, scholars and concerned citizens alike.’ —Aaron L. Friedberg, professor of politics and international affairs at Princeton and former deputy assistant for national security affairs in the office of the US vice-president

‘We all know where the most dangerous flashpoints in Asia are, but Brendan Taylor has gone further than anyone in illuminating why they are so dangerous and how we might avoid conflict. He has produced the most gripping scenarios for major power war in Asia in print – as well as the strongest case for the wise statecraft we will need to keep the peace.’ —Michael J. Green, senior vice-president for Asia at the Centre for Strategic and International Studies and author of By More Than Providence: Grand Strategy and American Power in the Asia Pacific since 1783